Arabian Peninsula | October 2024: A dry month for most of the period, with a gradual moderation expected in the weather, God willing

From the Arab Weather Regional Center - The weather forecast cadre issued the monthly forecasts for the Arabian Peninsula region for October 2024, in a regular monthly update called the "Monthly Weather Bulletin", noting that the method of preparing these weather bulletins differs from other daily weather bulletins in that they lack precise details, and their aim is to give a general picture of the month. The aim of presenting the forecasts is also to provide an initial idea of ​​the expected temperatures and rainfall, as well as the most prominent expected climate phenomena.

Arabian Peninsula | October 2024: A dry month for most of the period, with a gradual moderation expected in the weather, God willing

General situation:

1. A dry month for most of the month in most areas except for parts of the highlands of southwestern Saudi Arabia and Yemen and some areas overlooking the Arabian Sea.

2. Gradual moderation in the weather, especially during the second half of the month, particularly in the north of the Arabian Peninsula.

3. Warning of the possibility of dust storms forming in some periods as a result of the approach of colder air masses . These details are only available to subscribers via the premium package.

4. Fog and dense fog may form on some days over parts of the eastern coasts of Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Kuwait.

5. The chances of the first case of atmospheric instability in the north of the Arabian Peninsula increasing during the last week of the month, and it may be limited in general.

6. No indication of tropical cyclone formation in the Arabian Sea in the monthly forecast.

Temperature deviation from the general average:

Rainfall deviation from general averages:

Detailed weather conditions:

First week (October 1-7) 2024:

• Rain
  
  • Convert to below average.
• Temperatures
  
  • About the rate.
• Flood chance
  
  • Generally low.
• Description of air systems
  
  • The northern regions of the Arabian Peninsula will be affected by a colder than usual air mass at the beginning of the period, which will lead to a relative moderation in the weather in those regions. The weather will be stable in most parts, with the possibility of some thunderclouds forming in parts of Yemen, the southwestern highlands of Saudi Arabia, and the Al Hajar Mountains in northern Oman, in addition to some areas overlooking the Arabian Sea, which may be accompanied by some rainfall.

Week 2 (October 8-14) 2024:

• Rain
  
  • Below average.
• Temperatures
  
  • Turning warmer than average (especially north of the Arabian Peninsula).
• Flood chance
  
  • Generally low.
• Description of air systems
  
  • The high pressure in the upper atmosphere is intensifying again, especially in the north of the Arabian Peninsula, which leads to temperatures rising above their usual rates, especially in Iraq, northern Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, while they are close to their rates in the rest of the countries. It is also expected that the chances of thunderstorm activity will continue in southwestern Saudi Arabia and Yemen.

Week 3 (October 15-21) 2024:

• Rain
  
  • Convert to below average.
• Temperatures
  
  • These details are only available to premium package subscribers.
• Flood chance
  
  • Low.
• Description of air systems
  
  • There is no radical change in the distribution of weather systems in the region, represented by the continued control of the upper air high over most parts of the Arabian Peninsula, but a cold upper basin may approach the eastern Mediterranean at the end of the period, leading to some generally limited unstable weather conditions in the Levant and the north of the Arabian Peninsula. It is also likely that a humid mass will flow from the Arabian Sea towards the south of the Arabian Peninsula, leading to some rainfall in some of those regions and a relative moderation in the weather.

Fourth week and rest of the month (October 22-31) 2024:

• Rain
  
  • About the rate.
• Temperatures
  
  • About the rate.
• Flood chance
  
  • Generally low, becoming moderate at the end of the period in some areas.
• Description of air systems
  
  • The air depressions in the upper layers of the atmosphere are approaching the eastern region of the Mediterranean Sea and the north of the Arabian Peninsula, which leads to the excitation of the Red Sea depression. This weather system leads to these details being available only to subscribers via the premium package.

God is higher and more knowledgeable.